How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything in Between
Bent Flyvbjerg
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Philip E. Tetlock
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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
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Risk
Dan Gardner
Суперпрогнозування. Мистецтво та наука передбачення