The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

definitely a lot of great empirical arguments. definitely changes how i size up probabilities and decisions. author has a background as a ‘quant', and the brightest parts of this book is when he relates his field of expertise to the more abstract area of uncertainty, dunking on gaussian social scientists. however, i utterly disagree with his more metaphysical conclusions, such as history being nothing other than an entertainment due to difficulty of ascertaining the past (correct, it is absolutely chaotic, but do you not think the STORY OF HUMANITY UP TO THIS POINT might not have something to say?).

also he's a dick